Book Description
When it comes to new manufacturing processes and products, many investors fail to look past the novelty of the new, putting blind faith in potentially faulty business plans. Now there's a way to accurately measure the real risks of highly complicated projects. Wright outlines a step-by-step process that shows bankers, venture capital companies, and investors how to:
* Determine if technologies are valid to ensure, for example, that pilot-plant results can be duplicated at full-scale * Use process design methods to analyze new and emerging technologies used in proposed investments * Use the author's scientific approximation to handle unsymmetrical distributions common in the evaluation of potential investments * Use Monte Carlo Analysis to quantify the uncertainty of a plan -- and determine the potential for making a profit.
Customer Reviews:
Uniquely quantifies the risk associated with investments........2002-12-31
While, for many decades, simulation has been the most commonly used technique available for risk analysis of a variety of complex systems, its meaningful popularity, outside engineering and the sciences, has only started to build. James Wright's book provides a comprehensive guide to the application of the Monte Carlo simulation tool as a means of uniquely quantifying the risk associated with any technical investment project. Even though Wright's book specifically addresses the most complex case of evaluating "technical projects" the process is readily applicable to evaluate high-tech and other investment projects.
In Part I, Wright's innovative method of presenting technical due diligence, with its step-by-step approach to building a complex system, contains several practical examples. It is an excellent introduction to the use of Monte Carlo simulation to a broader audience with common interests in venture capital. In Part II, he covers different commonly used discrete and continuous random variables with relevant examples. In this part, Wright's extensive reviews of triangular and angular random distributions, and their applications in analyzing risk for technical projects, provide a helpful approach to simplify the application of the Monte Carlo simulation in other areas. Several user-friendly computer files in an accompanying CD offer opportunities to quickly simulate different systems.
Monte Carlo Risk Analysis and Due Diligence of New Business Ventures is an excellent reference for MBA programs with a concentration in finance, entrepreneurship, and technology management.
Wright clearly explains Monte Carlo analyses of businesses........2002-12-31
As a VC (Venture Capitalist), I am always seeking better methods to analyze investment opportunities. Jim Wright's book takes that analysis to the next level. Monte Carlo simulation techniques have repeatedly proven their value in addressing some of the world's most complex problems. Unfortunately, the technique is inherently very compute intensive, until now placing its use beyond the reach of most business analysis. A combination of Moore's law, and Wright's very clever unsymmetrical Gaussangular DistributionsTM, now permit ordinary PC/spreadsheet users to employ this very powerful tool.
Wright has distilled his many years of field experience into an easily followed, step-by-step, approach to providing very insightful statistical evaluations of complex technical projects. Implementation is facilitated by ready-to-use software and support included on a CD with the book. Monte Carlo Risk Analysis is not only suitable for the most complex problems; it can very usefully be applied to most any business analysis. Within the context of VC investments in speculative, new technologies, Wright's book provides a very potent approach to identifying and quantifying the metrics for success. I highly recommend Wright's book to anybody analyzing business ventures.
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Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning - IDEAL 2002: Third International Conference, Manchester, UK, August 12-14 Proceedings (Lecture Notes in Computer Science)
Manufacturer: Springer
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ASIN: 3540440259 |
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the Third International Conference on Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning, IDEAL 2002, held in Manchester, UK in August 2002.The 89 revised papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from more than 150 submissions. The book offers topical sections on data mining, knowledge engineering, text and document processing, internet applications, agent technology, autonomous mining, financial engineering, bioinformatics, learning systems, and pattern recognition.
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Causal Models and Intelligent Data Management
Manufacturer: Springer
ProductGroup: Book
Binding: Hardcover
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ASIN: 3540663282 |
Book Description
Data analysis and inference have traditionally been research areas of statistics. However, the need to electronically store, manipulate and analyze large-scale, high-dimensional data sets requires new methods and tools, new types of databases, new efficient algorithms, new data structures, etc. - in effect new computational methods.This monograph presents new intelligent data management methods and tools, such as the support vector machine, and new results from the field of inference, in particular of causal modeling. In 11 well-structured chapters, leading experts map out the major tendencies and future directions of intelligent data analysis. The book will become a valuable source of reference for researchers exploring the interdisciplinary area between statistics and computer science as well as for professionals applying advanced data analysis methods in industry and commerce. Students and lecturers will find the book useful as an introduction to the area.
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Advances in Applied Artificial Intelligence: 19th International Conference on Industrial, Engineering and Other Applications of Applied Intelligent Systems, ... (Lecture Notes in Computer Science)
Manufacturer: Springer
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ASIN: 3540354530 |
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Industrial and Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence and Expert Systems, IEA/AIE 2006, held in Annecy, France, in June 2006.
The 134 revised full papers presented together with 3 invited contributions were carefully reviewed and selected from over 330 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on multi-agent systems, decision-support, genetic algorithms, heuristic search, data-mining and knowledge discovery, planning and scheduling, fuzzy logic, computer vision, case-based reasoning, knowledge engineering, machine learning, model-based reasoning, speech recognition, and systems for real life applications. There are 6 special sessions held in parallel with the general conference that focus on bioinformatics, ontology and text, data for discovery in engineering, intelligent control systems, intelligent systems for industry, and applications of data mining.
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Focusing Solutions for Data Mining: Analytical Studies and Experimental Results in Real-World Domains (Lecture Notes in Computer Science)
Thomas Reinartz
Manufacturer: Springer
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Binding: Paperback
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ASIN: 3540664297 |
Book Description
In the first part, this book analyzes the knowledge discovery process in order to understand the relations between knowledge discovery steps and focusing. The part devoted to the development of focusing solutions opens with an analysis of the state of the art, then introduces the relevant techniques, and finally culminates in implementing a unified approach as a generic sampling algorithm, which is then integrated into a commercial data mining system. The last part evaluates specific focusing solutions in various application domains. The book provides various appendicies enhancing easy accessibility.The book presents a comprehensive introduction to focusing in the context of data mining and knowledge discovery. It is written for researchers and advanced students, as well as for professionals applying data mining and knowledge discovery techniques in practice.
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Foundations of Intelligent Systems: 12th International Symposium, ISMIS 2000, Charlotte, NC, USA October 11-14, 2000 Proceedings (Lecture Notes in Computer ... / Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence)
Manufacturer: Springer
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Binding: Paperback
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ASIN: 3540410945 |
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 12th International Symposium on Methodologies for Intelligent Systems, ISMIS 2000, held in Charlotte, NC, USA in October 2000.The 64 revised full papers presented together with one invited contribution were carefully reviewed and selected from a total of 112 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on evolutionary computation, intelligent information retrieval, intelligent information systems, knowledge representation and integration, knowledge discovery and learning, logic for AI, and methodologies.
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Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning - IDEAL 2000. Data Mining, Financial Engineering, and Intelligent Agents: Second International Conference ... (Lecture Notes in Computer Science)
Manufacturer: Springer
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Binding: Paperback
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ASIN: 3540414509 |
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the Second International Conference on Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning, IDEAL 2000, held in Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong, China in December 2000. The 81 revised papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. The book is divided in topical sections on data mining and automated learning, financial engineering, intelligent agents, Internet applications, multimedia processing, and genetic programming.
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning, IDEAL 2004, held in Exeter, UK, in August 2004.
The 124 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 272 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on bioinformatics, data mining and knowledge engineering, learning algorithms and systems, financial engineering, and agent technologies.
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Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning - IDEAL 2005: 6th International Conference, Brisbane, Australia, July 6-8, 2005, Proceedings (Lecture Notes in Computer Science)
Manufacturer: Springer
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Binding: Paperback
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XML & Databases
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ASIN: 354026972X |
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning, IDEAL 2005, held in Brisbane, Australia, in July 2005. The 76 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 167 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on data mining and knowledge engineering, learning algorithms and systems, bioinformatics, agent technologies, and financial engineering.
Product Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning, IDEAL 2006, held in Burgos, Spain in September 2006.
The 170 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 557 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on learning and information processing, data mining, retrieval and management, bioinformatics and bio-inspired models, agents and hybrid systems, financial engineering, as well as a special session on nature-inspired date technologies.;
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Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning -- IDEAL 2003: 4th International Conference, Hong Kong, China, March 21-23, 2003, Revised Papers (Lecture Notes in Computer Science)
Manufacturer: Springer
ProductGroup: Book
Binding: Paperback
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ASIN: 354040550X |
Book Description
This book constitutes the throughly refereed post-proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning, IDEAL 2003, held in Hong Kong, China in March 2003.
The 164 revised papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 321 submissions; for inclusion in this post-proceedings another round of revision was imposed. The papers are organized in topical sections an agents, automated learning, bioinformatics, data mining, multimedia information, and financial engineering.
Book Description
The first inside look at how the elite white-collar crime defense bar goes about its work. Mann's book reveals that these lawyers see their main task as controlling information about their clients, especially the flow of harmful information to government investigators. As both lawyer and sociologist, Mann was able to gain access only rarely available to scholars. His book raises important ethical and policy questions for the bar and for the administration of justice. "People who think our criminal system is too soft on muggers and petty thieves can learn from Mann's book how soft things get when business-class thieves are in trouble." -- Michael Kinsley, Fortune
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Tales of a Fledgling Homestead
Joe E. Armstrong
Manufacturer: Misty Hill Pr
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Binding: Paperback
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ASIN: 0930079000 |
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- MP Financial and Managerial Accounting: The Basis for Business Decisions w/ My Mentor, Net Tutor, and OLC w/ PW (Financial and Managerial Accounting)
- MP Financial and Managerial Accounting: The Basis for Business Decisions w/ My Mentor, Net Tutor, and OLC w/ PW (Financial and Managerial Accounting)
- MP Granite Bay Jet Ski Lev 1 with Student CD-ROM
- Mutual Fund Masters: A Revealing Look Into the Minds and Strategies of Wall Street's Best and Brightest
- Not-for-Profit Accounting, Tax, and Reporting Requirements
- Peachtree Accounting Practice Set: The Coddled Canine
- Performance Measurement and Control Systems for Implementing Strategy Text and Cases
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- Planning Special Events (J-B Fund Raising School Series)
- Pricing Financial Instruments: The Finite Difference Method
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