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The Greenspan Effect: Words That Move the World's Markets
David B. Sicilia , and Jeffrey L. Cruikshank Manufacturer: McGraw-Hill Companies ProductGroup: Book Binding: Paperback ASIN: 0071382526 |
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The son of a stockbroker and himself a one-time swing-band musician, Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan has incontrovertibly turned his formerly anonymous presidential appointment into the single most dominant financial position on earth. Whenever he prepares to speak, fiscal agents around the world hold their collective breaths--and then react emphatically to his words, often even before he finishes saying them.But exactly what does he say that so affects money management? And precisely why does he say it? David Sicilia and Jeffrey Cruikshank, consultants and previous collaborators, do a formidable job of answering both questions by analyzing the chairman's own statements in The Greenspan Effect. The result is an insightful point-by-point assessment of the man and his enormous influence. From critical utterances like those in his famous "irrational exuberance" speech (which sank the markets after he delivered it in 1996) to uplifting phrases such as "oasis of prosperity" (which boosted them when he used it in 1998), they're all examined according to the way they affect and are affected by interest rates, inflation, labor, banking, global economies, and other factors. Perhaps most useful is the penultimate chapter, which offers 16 principles of Greenspanology, such as "It's always about interest rates" even though he "hardly ever talks about interest rates," designed to guide those who "navigate the often troubled waters onto which Greenspan pours his rhetorical oils, or into which he introduces new turbulence." --Howard Rothman
Book Description
"[David Sicilia and Jeffrey Cruikshank] have done their homework on this fascinating economist. Greenspan's career is spelled out to readers in this informative and interesting read."San Diego Union TribuneSelected by Library Journal as a Best Business Book of the Year
With one key phrase or comment, Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan can send global financial markets tumbling or soaring! The Greenspan Effect provides an up-close examination of Greenspan's tumultuous regime, suggesting to investors what pronouncements to expect and what they will meanduring the remainder of his remarkable term in office.
This in-depth analysis of the words of Alan Greenspan includes highlights of his most influential speeches and demonstrates his uncanny, far-reaching power to impact markets on a global scale. In addition, it explains how to separate rhetoric from meaningful signals and anticipates the impact Greenspan is likely to have on future global markets. The Greenspan Effect focuses on one powerful and brilliant man, his words and actions, and how investors can profit from this new knowledge.
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The book that cracks the Greenspan code--helping investors understand Alan Greenspan's words and showing them how to separate meaningless rhetoric from market-moving signals.Customer Reviews:
Cursory.......2005-08-22
Words move Mountains.......2004-04-02
The book itself is a decent enough review of Alan Greenspan's economic career, from its inception at Townsend-Greenspan & Co. until his illustrious tenure as chairman of the Fed. Complete with speeches Greenspan himself gave, along with commentary by Sicilia and Cruikshank, this book helps to explain the economic trends of the past decade and put into perspective the exact role that Greenspan played in those trends.
Honestly, the book itself became a little tired. The format of teh book rarely changes, and, as a high school student, I found myself scrying for ways to keep myself awake during the reading. Recommended if you really like economics or Alan Greenspan.
The benefit of hindsight.......2002-01-06
With the benefits of hindsight, analysis of Mr Greenspan's statements will always be easier. I feel that at the end of the day, the markets ultimately decides which way they would like to interpret his speech. The whole book is filled with quotes by Greenspan and commentaries by the authors on what these quotes actually mean. I feel however that the authors chose to emphasize on those quotes which actaully drove the market one way and downplay those that had less impact on the markets.
It's a veritable attempt by the authors here, but it was a real effort for me to finish the book.
A Solid Effort!.......2001-05-30
Reinforcing a problem.......2000-11-18
For those readers who follow or invest in the markets, you all are acutely aware of the power this man wields, 2 words can literally have an impact on markets measured in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Who will forget "irrational exuberance"? Those words were not even a declaration, but part of a rhetorical comment, and terror still ensued.
Contrary to what often is reported, Mr. Greenspan speaks English. However the word parse has become connected with any statement he makes. So the routine is, Mr. Greenspan speaks, and I truly believe the vast majority understand him, but like any event the press and their "experts" take apart every word, whether his brow is wrinkled, and essentially try to graph each appearance and comment to find the "true meaning". I have always found this annoying and condescending. People who are sophisticated enough to manage their money, can manage to understand our Fed Chairman.
I made it through this book, but I would not recommend you bother. There is a new book about the man I am reading, and so far it is excellent. This work reinforces the idea that experts need to break down every word, and then explain what Mr. Greenspan means. There are no great insights offered, nothing is simplified, you will learn virtually nothing about the workings of The Federal Reserve, and if you feel comfortable listening to the Chairman now, this book will only make you question whether you should.
If you are looking for the opinions of these Authors, if you want to follow a needlessly complex maze of an attempt to find a pattern to everything the man has said, this is for you. As I said, Mr. Greenspan speaks English, and were it not for the emphasis placed on pairings of words out of context, and the emotions they generate, people would understand we have a brilliant Fed Chairman, who at times chooses to be vague, and at times cannot give definitive answers about the future, who can.
He has been a remarkable Chairman, appointed and reappointed by 3 presidents from both parties. Now you can take that statement at face value, or have the talking heads dissect it for you. The answer is the same either way, and the time you save listening to what you hear, and skipping the experts, is time better spent on anything else.
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The Greenspan Effect Words That Move the World's Markets
David B. (Jeffrey L. Cruikshank) Sicilia Manufacturer: McGraw-Hill Book Co. ProductGroup: Book Binding: Hardcover ASIN: B000J0ZEQQ |
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The Greenspan Effect : Words That Move the World's Markets
David B. Sicilia Manufacturer: McGraw-Hill Companies ProductGroup: Book Binding: Paperback ASIN: B000OFV7BM |
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